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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Sep 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 135 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 135 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 11 h 45 min before tip-off. Atlanta Dream opened as the favorite at 1.75 (-134) and drifted to 1.86 (-116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Liberty 45% → 48%, Atlanta Dream 55% → 52%. The spread moved from New York Liberty +2 to New York Liberty +1.5. The total moved down from 178.5 to 177.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New York Liberty2.11 (+111)1.99 (-101)
Atlanta Dream1.75 (-134)1.86 (-116)
spreadNew York Liberty +2 · 1.91 (-110)New York Liberty +1.5 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 178.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 177.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
42%47%53%58%New York Liberty 48%Atlanta Dream 52%
spread · New York Liberty
+1.5+2+2.5+3+2 → +1.5
Total (over/under)
177.5178.5179180.5178.5 → 177.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).