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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx — odds movement

Sep 22, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 216 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 216 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 25 min before tip-off. Indiana Fever opened as the favorite at 1.90 (-111) and shortened to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Indiana Fever 50% → 60%, Minnesota Lynx 50% → 40%. The spread moved from Indiana Fever +1 to Indiana Fever -3.5. The total moved down from 187.5 to 186. The sharpest single move came 1 h 20 min before tip-off: Minnesota Lynx went from 49% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Indiana Fever	1.90 (-111)	1.62 (-162)
Minnesota Lynx	1.92 (-109)	2.38 (+138)
spread	Indiana Fever +1 · 1.84 (-119)	Indiana Fever -3.5 · 1.95 (-105)
Total	O/U 187.5 · over 1.95 (-105)	O/U 186 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

spread · Indiana Fever

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

23:42 Total 185 → 186
23:12 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.66 → 1.63
23:12 Total 184 → 185
23:12 spread (Indiana Fever) -2.5 → -3.5
22:57 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.71 → 1.66
22:42 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.89 → 1.71
22:42 Total 185.5 → 184
22:42 spread (Indiana Fever) -1 → -2.5
21:42 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.89 → 1.88
20:42 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.92 → 1.89
19:57 Total 184.5 → 185.5
19:27 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.93 → 1.91
17:42 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.90 → 1.92
17:12 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.89 → 1.90
17:12 Total 185.5 → 184.5
16:57 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.91 → 1.89
16:42 Total 184.5 → 185.5
16:12 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.93 → 1.91
15:42 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.88 → 1.93
15:27 Total 183.5 → 184.5
15:12 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.90 → 1.87
14:57 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.89 → 1.90
14:42 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.92 → 1.89
14:42 Total 184.5 → 183.5
14:42 spread (Indiana Fever) +1 → -1
14:27 Total 185.5 → 184.5
13:37 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.93 → 1.92
13:27 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.91 → 1.93
12:37 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.93 → 1.91
12:07 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.97 → 1.93
11:22 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.93 → 1.97
10:52 Total 187.5 → 185.5
09:37 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.88 → 1.94
05:52 Indiana Fever moneyline 1.90 → 1.88

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).