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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun — odds movement

Sep 22, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 226 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 226 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 15 min before tip-off. Washington Mystics opened as the favorite at 1.07 (-1443) and shortened to 1.06 (-1658). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Mystics 90% → 92%, Connecticut Sun 10% → 8%. The spread moved from Washington Mystics -15 to Washington Mystics -17.5. The total moved up from 159 to 160.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Washington Mystics1.07 (-1443)1.06 (-1658)
Connecticut Sun9.88 (+888)11.85 (+1085)
spreadWashington Mystics -15 · 1.89 (-112)Washington Mystics -17.5 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 159 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 160.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%31%69%107%Washington Mystics 92%Connecticut Sun 8%
spread · Washington Mystics
-17.5-17-16.5-16-15.5-15-15 → -17.5
Total (over/under)
159160.5159 → 160.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).