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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks — odds movement

Sep 22, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 255 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 255 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 40 min before tip-off. Las Vegas Aces opened as the favorite at 1.07 (-1508) and shortened to 1.06 (-1678). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Las Vegas Aces 91% → 92%, Los Angeles Sparks 9% → 8%. The spread moved from Las Vegas Aces -16.5 to Las Vegas Aces -17. The total moved up from 179 to 179.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Las Vegas Aces1.07 (-1508)1.06 (-1678)
Los Angeles Sparks10.19 (+919)11.94 (+1094)
spreadLas Vegas Aces -16.5 · 1.91 (-110)Las Vegas Aces -17 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 179 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 179.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%31%69%107%Las Vegas Aces 92%Los Angeles Sparks 8%
spread · Las Vegas Aces
-17.5-17-16.5-16.5 → -17
Total (over/under)
178178.5179179.5179 → 179.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).