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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Sep 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 257 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 257 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 22 h 20 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: New York Liberty opened favored at 1.79 (-127), but by the last snapshot Atlanta Dream was the favorite at 1.54 (-185). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Liberty 53% → 38%, Atlanta Dream 47% → 62%. The spread moved from New York Liberty -1.5 to New York Liberty +4.5. The total moved down from 176.5 to 174.5. The sharpest single move came 6 h 25 min before tip-off: New York Liberty went from 55% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
New York Liberty	1.79 (-127)	2.56 (+156)
Atlanta Dream	2.05 (+105)	1.54 (-185)
spread	New York Liberty -1.5 · 1.91 (-110)	New York Liberty +4.5 · 1.91 (-110)
Total	O/U 176.5 · over 1.89 (-112)	O/U 174.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

spread · New York Liberty

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

23:37 New York Liberty moneyline 2.64 → 2.56
23:37 spread (New York Liberty) +5 → +4.5
23:22 New York Liberty moneyline 2.60 → 2.64
23:22 Total 173 → 174.5
23:22 spread (New York Liberty) +4.5 → +5
23:07 New York Liberty moneyline 2.56 → 2.60
22:52 New York Liberty moneyline 2.53 → 2.56
22:52 Total 174 → 173
22:37 New York Liberty moneyline 2.51 → 2.53
22:22 New York Liberty moneyline 2.42 → 2.51
22:22 spread (New York Liberty) +3.5 → +4.5
21:37 New York Liberty moneyline 2.44 → 2.42
21:22 New York Liberty moneyline 2.37 → 2.44
21:22 spread (New York Liberty) +3 → +3.5
20:52 New York Liberty moneyline 2.34 → 2.37
20:22 New York Liberty moneyline 2.30 → 2.34
19:52 Total 175 → 174
19:07 New York Liberty moneyline 2.29 → 2.31
18:52 New York Liberty moneyline 2.26 → 2.29
18:37 New York Liberty moneyline 2.29 → 2.26
18:22 New York Liberty moneyline 2.35 → 2.29
18:22 spread (New York Liberty) +3.5 → +3
18:07 New York Liberty moneyline 2.28 → 2.35
18:07 spread (New York Liberty) +3 → +3.5
17:52 New York Liberty moneyline 2.14 → 2.28
17:52 spread (New York Liberty) +2 → +3
17:37 New York Liberty moneyline 1.76 → 2.14
17:37 spread (New York Liberty) -2 → +2
16:52 New York Liberty moneyline 1.75 → 1.76
16:22 New York Liberty moneyline 1.74 → 1.76
16:07 New York Liberty moneyline 1.72 → 1.74
15:32 New York Liberty moneyline 1.69 → 1.72
15:32 spread (New York Liberty) -2.5 → -2
15:17 New York Liberty moneyline 1.74 → 1.69
15:17 spread (New York Liberty) -2 → -2.5
15:02 New York Liberty moneyline 1.76 → 1.74
15:02 Total 176.5 → 175
14:32 New York Liberty moneyline 1.71 → 1.76
14:17 New York Liberty moneyline 1.72 → 1.71
14:02 New York Liberty moneyline 1.74 → 1.72
13:32 New York Liberty moneyline 1.75 → 1.74
12:17 New York Liberty moneyline 1.74 → 1.75
05:47 New York Liberty moneyline 1.79 → 1.73
05:47 spread (New York Liberty) -1.5 → -2
05:17 New York Liberty moneyline 1.78 → 1.79

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).