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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Seattle Storm vs Dallas Wings — odds movement

Sep 23, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 289 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 289 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 24 h 20 min before tip-off. Dallas Wings opened as the favorite at 1.23 (-438) and drifted to 1.31 (-325). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Storm 22% → 26%, Dallas Wings 78% → 74%. The spread moved from Seattle Storm +9.5 to Seattle Storm +7.5. The total moved up from 171 to 173.5. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before tip-off: Dallas Wings went from 77% to 75% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Storm4.31 (+331)3.65 (+265)
Dallas Wings1.23 (-438)1.31 (-325)
spreadSeattle Storm +9.5 · 1.91 (-110)Seattle Storm +7.5 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 171 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 173.5 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
8%36%64%92%Seattle Storm 26%Dallas Wings 74%
spread · Seattle Storm
+7.5+8+8.5+9+9.5+10+9.5 → +7.5
Total (over/under)
170.5171171.5172.5173.5174.5171 → 173.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).