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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Los Angeles Sparks vs Golden State Valkyries — odds movement

Sep 24, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 226 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 226 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 5 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.18 (-567) and drifted to 1.19 (-521). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Los Angeles Sparks 19% → 19%, Golden State Valkyries 81% → 81%. The spread moved from Los Angeles Sparks +11.5 to Los Angeles Sparks +11. The total stayed at 159.5. The sharpest single move came 10 h 50 min before tip-off: Los Angeles Sparks went from 17% to 19% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Los Angeles Sparks5.14 (+414)5.07 (+407)
Golden State Valkyries1.18 (-567)1.19 (-521)
spreadLos Angeles Sparks +11.5 · 1.91 (-110)Los Angeles Sparks +11 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 159.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 159.5 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
5%35%65%95%Los Angeles Sparks 19%Golden State Valkyries 81%
spread · Los Angeles Sparks
+11+11.5+12+11.5 → +11
Total (over/under)
157158158.5159159.5160159.5 → 159.5

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