Scan with your phone camera New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning — odds movement
Oct 1, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 303 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 303 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 25 h 20 min before puck drop. Tampa Bay Lightning opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-138) and shortened to 1.68 (-147). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Rangers 44% → 42%, Tampa Bay Lightning 56% → 58%. The puck line held at New York Rangers +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 6 to 5.5. The sharpest single move came 17 h 20 min before puck drop: Tampa Bay Lightning went from 56% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| New York Rangers | 2.22 (+122) | 2.32 (+132) |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.72 (-138) | 1.68 (-147) |
| puck line | New York Rangers +1.5 · 1.46 (-218) | New York Rangers +1.5 · 1.49 (-205) |
| Total | O/U 6 · over 1.98 (-102) | O/U 5.5 · over 1.86 (-116) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).