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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries — odds movement

Sep 30, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · 597 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 597 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 50 h 30 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-183) and shortened to 1.53 (-188). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dallas Wings 38% → 37%, Golden State Valkyries 62% → 63%. The spread moved from Dallas Wings +4 to Dallas Wings +4.5. The total moved up from 155.5 to 158. The sharpest single move came 20 h 25 min before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 64% to 62% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Dallas Wings2.49 (+149)2.59 (+159)
Golden State Valkyries1.55 (-183)1.53 (-188)
spreadDallas Wings +4 · 1.92 (-109)Dallas Wings +4.5 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 155.5 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 158 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
31%44%56%69%Dallas Wings 37%Golden State Valkyries 63%
spread · Dallas Wings
+3.5+4+4.5+5+4 → +4.5
Total (over/under)
155.5156.5157158155.5 → 158

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).