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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Sep 30, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · 573 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 573 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 48 h 30 min before tip-off. Atlanta Dream opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-181) and drifted to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Mystics 39% → 40%, Atlanta Dream 62% → 60%. The spread moved from Washington Mystics +4 to Washington Mystics +3. The total moved up from 164.5 to 167.5. The sharpest single move came 32 h 45 min before tip-off: Atlanta Dream went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Washington Mystics	2.48 (+148)	2.38 (+138)
Atlanta Dream	1.55 (-181)	1.62 (-162)
spread	Washington Mystics +4 · 1.92 (-109)	Washington Mystics +3 · 1.95 (-105)
Total	O/U 164.5 · over 1.85 (-117)	O/U 167.5 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

spread · Washington Mystics

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

22:27 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.40 → 2.38
22:27 Total 166.5 → 167.5
21:57 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.37 → 2.39
21:27 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.34 → 2.37
21:27 spread (Washington Mystics) +2.5 → +3
17:42 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.27 → 2.31
17:27 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.25 → 2.27
16:57 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.26 → 2.24
16:12 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.30 → 2.26
15:42 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.28 → 2.30
15:12 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.31 → 2.28
14:57 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.35 → 2.31
14:42 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.33 → 2.35
14:27 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.25 → 2.33
14:12 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.31 → 2.25
13:57 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.35 → 2.31
13:57 Total 165 → 166.5
13:42 Total 165.5 → 165
12:57 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.32 → 2.34
12:42 spread (Washington Mystics) +3 → +2.5
12:27 spread (Washington Mystics) +3.5 → +3
12:12 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.30 → 2.32
11:57 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.40 → 2.30
09:52 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.42 → 2.39
06:07 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.39 → 2.42
05:07 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.48 → 2.39
05:07 spread (Washington Mystics) +4.5 → +3.5
04:37 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.51 → 2.48
01:52 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.49 → 2.51
22:07 Total 164.5 → 165.5
21:47 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.60 → 2.49
15:17 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.58 → 2.60
14:32 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.60 → 2.58
14:17 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.45 → 2.60
14:17 spread (Washington Mystics) +4 → +4.5
06:12 Washington Mystics moneyline 2.48 → 2.46

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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