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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces — odds movement

Sep 29, 2026 · 6:30 PM ET · 528 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 528 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 46 h 30 min before tip-off. Indiana Fever opened as the favorite at 1.82 (-122) and drifted to 1.85 (-117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Indiana Fever 52% → 52%, Las Vegas Aces 48% → 48%. The spread held at Indiana Fever -1 the whole way. The total moved down from 183.5 to 183.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Indiana Fever1.82 (-122)1.85 (-117)
Las Vegas Aces2.01 (+101)2.00 (+100)
spreadIndiana Fever -1 · 1.88 (-114)Indiana Fever -1 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 183.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 183 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
45%48%52%55%Indiana Fever 52%Las Vegas Aces 48%
spread · Indiana Fever
-1.5-1+1-1 → -1
Total (over/under)
183183.5184185186183.5 → 183

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).