Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II — odds movement
Oct 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 500 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 500 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 5 min before kickoff. Sparta Rotterdam opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-159) and shortened to 1.59 (-170). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sparta Rotterdam 58% → 61%, draw 21% → 22%, Willem II 20% → 17%. The Asian handicap held at Sparta Rotterdam -1 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.63 (-159) | 1.59 (-170) |
| Draw | 4.43 (+343) | 4.38 (+338) |
| Willem II | 4.64 (+364) | 5.60 (+460) |
| Asian handicap | Sparta Rotterdam -1 · 2.04 (+104) | Sparta Rotterdam -1 · 1.94 (-106) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.95 (-105) | O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).