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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 500 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 500 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 5 min before kickoff. Sparta Rotterdam opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-159) and shortened to 1.59 (-170). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sparta Rotterdam 58% → 61%, draw 21% → 22%, Willem II 20% → 17%. The Asian handicap held at Sparta Rotterdam -1 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sparta Rotterdam1.63 (-159)1.59 (-170)
Draw4.43 (+343)4.38 (+338)
Willem II4.64 (+364)5.60 (+460)
Asian handicapSparta Rotterdam -1 · 2.04 (+104)Sparta Rotterdam -1 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
9%29%50%70%Sparta Rotterdam 61%Draw 22%Willem II 17%
Asian handicap · Sparta Rotterdam
-1-0.75-1 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).