Oct 18, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 499 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 499 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. NEC Nijmegen opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and drifted to 1.76 (-131). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): NEC Nijmegen 58% → 55%, draw 22% → 23%, Fortuna Sittard 20% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from NEC Nijmegen -1 to NEC Nijmegen -0.75. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
NEC Nijmegen
1.64 (-156)
1.76 (-131)
Draw
4.31 (+331)
4.21 (+321)
Fortuna Sittard
4.70 (+370)
4.32 (+332)
Asian handicap
NEC Nijmegen -1 · 2.05 (+105)
NEC Nijmegen -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.92 (-109)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · NEC Nijmegen
Total (over/under)
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