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Cambuur Leeuwaarden vs AZ Alkmaar — odds movement

Oct 18, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 475 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 475 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. AZ Alkmaar opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-214) and drifted to 1.48 (-207). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cambuur Leeuwaarden 17% → 16%, draw 19% → 19%, AZ Alkmaar 64% → 65%. The Asian handicap held at Cambuur Leeuwaarden +1.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cambuur Leeuwaarden5.71 (+471)6.12 (+512)
Draw4.99 (+399)4.99 (+399)
AZ Alkmaar1.47 (-214)1.48 (-207)
Asian handicapCambuur Leeuwaarden +1.25 · 1.89 (-112)Cambuur Leeuwaarden +1.25 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%52%74%Cambuur Leeuwaarden 16%Draw 19%AZ Alkmaar 65%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+1.25)
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).