Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens — odds movement
Oct 3, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 336 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 336 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 28 h 5 min before puck drop. The favorite flipped: Montreal Canadiens opened favored at 1.79 (-126), but by the last snapshot Pittsburgh Penguins was the favorite at 1.95 (-105). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pittsburgh Penguins 46% → 50%, Montreal Canadiens 54% → 50%. The puck line held at Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 6 h 40 min before puck drop: Pittsburgh Penguins went from 47% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 2.12 (+112) | 1.95 (-105) |
| Montreal Canadiens | 1.79 (-126) | 1.95 (-105) |
| puck line | Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 · 1.43 (-230) | Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 · 1.38 (-264) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.92 (-109) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).