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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings — odds movement

Oct 2, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · 456 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 456 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 38 h 15 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.32 (-317) and shortened to 1.27 (-366). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 73% → 76%, Dallas Wings 27% → 24%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -7.5 to Golden State Valkyries -8. The total moved up from 157.5 to 159.5. The sharpest single move came 37 h 30 min before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 73% to 75% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Valkyries1.32 (-317)1.27 (-366)
Dallas Wings3.48 (+248)3.96 (+296)
spreadGolden State Valkyries -7.5 · 1.90 (-111)Golden State Valkyries -8 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 157.5 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 159.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%38%62%85%Golden State Valkyries 76%Dallas Wings 24%
spread · Golden State Valkyries
-8-7.5-7.5 → -8
Total (over/under)
157.5158.5159.5160157.5 → 159.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).