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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 362 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 362 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 30 h 20 min before puck drop. Washington Capitals opened and closed as the favorite at 1.76 (-132). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Capitals 55% → 56%, New York Rangers 45% → 44%. The puck line held at Washington Capitals -1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 6 to 5.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 15 min before puck drop: New York Rangers went from 42% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Washington Capitals1.76 (-132)1.76 (-132)
New York Rangers2.17 (+117)2.20 (+120)
puck lineWashington Capitals -1.5 · 2.94 (+194)Washington Capitals -1.5 · 2.92 (+192)
TotalO/U 6 · over 2.03 (+103)O/U 5.5 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
39%46%54%61%Washington Capitals 56%New York Rangers 44%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
5.566 → 5.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).