Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces — odds movement
Oct 7, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.78 (-129) and shortened to 1.72 (-138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 54% → 56%, Las Vegas Aces 46% → 44%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -1.5 to Golden State Valkyries -2. The total moved down from 158 to 156. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 53% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Golden State Valkyries | 1.78 (-129) | 1.72 (-138) |
| Las Vegas Aces | 2.07 (+107) | 2.18 (+118) |
| spread | Golden State Valkyries -1.5 · 1.89 (-112) | Golden State Valkyries -2 · 1.88 (-114) |
| Total | O/U 158 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 156 · over 1.91 (-110) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).