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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty — odds movement

Oct 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 645 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 645 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before tip-off. Atlanta Dream opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-152) and drifted to 1.77 (-130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlanta Dream 58% → 54%, New York Liberty 42% → 46%. The spread moved from Atlanta Dream -3 to Atlanta Dream -2. The total moved down from 171.5 to 170. The sharpest single move came 28 h 35 min before tip-off: Atlanta Dream went from 57% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlanta Dream1.66 (-152)1.77 (-130)
New York Liberty2.25 (+125)2.11 (+111)
spreadAtlanta Dream -3 · 1.93 (-108)Atlanta Dream -2 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 171.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 170 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
40%47%53%60%Atlanta Dream 54%New York Liberty 46%
spread · Atlanta Dream
-3-2-1.5-1-3 → -2
Total (over/under)
169.5170170.5171.5171.5 → 170

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).