Scan with your phone camera Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces — odds movement
Oct 4, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET · 397 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 397 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 33 h 20 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Las Vegas Aces opened favored at 1.84 (-119), but by the last snapshot Golden State Valkyries was the favorite at 1.89 (-113). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 48% → 51%, Las Vegas Aces 52% → 49%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries +1 to Golden State Valkyries -1. The total moved down from 161.5 to 159.5. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 48% to 52% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Golden State Valkyries | 1.98 (-102) | 1.89 (-113) |
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.84 (-119) | 1.97 (-103) |
| spread | Golden State Valkyries +1 · 1.92 (-109) | Golden State Valkyries -1 · 1.95 (-105) |
| Total | O/U 161.5 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 159.5 · over 1.96 (-104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).