Sep 3, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 540 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 540 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 51 h 40 min before kickoff. Lille opened as the favorite at 2.17 (+117) and shortened to 1.98 (-102). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toulouse 27% → 23%, draw 28% → 28%, Lille 45% → 49%. The Asian handicap moved from Toulouse +0.25 to Toulouse +0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 14 h 15 min before kickoff: Lille went from 46% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Toulouse
3.53 (+253)
4.17 (+317)
Draw
3.44 (+244)
3.52 (+252)
Lille
2.17 (+117)
1.98 (-102)
Asian handicap
Toulouse +0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
Toulouse +0.5 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.08 (+108)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Toulouse
Total (over/under)
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