Oct 9, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 649 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 649 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lens opened as the favorite at 2.48 (+148) and drifted to 2.64 (+164). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lens 39% → 37%, draw 25% → 27%, Lyon 36% → 36%. The Asian handicap held at Lens 0 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 10 h 10 min before kickoff: Lyon went from 34% to 35% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Lens
2.48 (+148)
2.64 (+164)
Draw
3.84 (+284)
3.61 (+261)
Lyon
2.71 (+171)
2.69 (+169)
Asian handicap
Lens 0 · 1.87 (-115)
Lens 0 · 1.94 (-106)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.85 (-117)
O/U 3 · over 1.91 (-110)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Lens
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera