Sep 20, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 635 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 635 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Paris Saint-Germain opened as the favorite at 1.40 (-248) and drifted to 1.43 (-233). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Marseille 13% → 14%, draw 18% → 18%, Paris Saint-Germain 69% → 68%. The Asian handicap moved from Marseille +1.5 to Marseille +1.25. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 11 h 60 min before kickoff: Paris Saint-Germain went from 69% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Marseille
7.25 (+625)
6.75 (+575)
Draw
5.34 (+434)
5.35 (+435)
Paris Saint-Germain
1.40 (-248)
1.43 (-233)
Asian handicap
Marseille +1.5 · 1.86 (-116)
Marseille +1.25 · 2.04 (+104)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.98 (-102)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Marseille
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)
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