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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Lorient vs Paris FC — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Paris FC opened as the favorite at 2.27 (+127) and shortened to 2.18 (+118). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lorient 29% → 26%, draw 29% → 30%, Paris FC 43% → 45%. The Asian handicap held at Lorient +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 11 h 55 min before kickoff: Paris FC went from 44% to 46% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Lorient3.35 (+235)3.81 (+281)
Draw3.38 (+238)3.26 (+226)
Paris FC2.27 (+127)2.18 (+118)
Asian handicapLorient +0.25 · 1.94 (-106)Lorient +0.25 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%31%41%50%Lorient 26%Draw 30%Paris FC 45%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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