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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Nice vs Strasbourg — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Nice opened as the favorite at 2.35 (+135) and shortened to 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nice 41% → 44%, draw 26% → 27%, Strasbourg 33% → 29%. The Asian handicap held at Nice -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 15 minutes before kickoff: Strasbourg went from 31% to 29% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Nice2.35 (+135)2.19 (+119)
Draw3.69 (+269)3.65 (+265)
Strasbourg2.97 (+197)3.35 (+235)
Asian handicapNice -0.25 · 2.06 (+106)Nice -0.25 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 3 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%31%39%48%Nice 44%Draw 27%Strasbourg 29%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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