Oct 10, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Monaco opened as the favorite at 1.58 (-171) and drifted to 1.65 (-155). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monaco 61% → 59%, draw 21% → 23%, Toulouse 18% → 18%. The Asian handicap held at Monaco -1 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Monaco
1.58 (-171)
1.65 (-155)
Draw
4.57 (+357)
4.26 (+326)
Toulouse
5.35 (+435)
5.24 (+424)
Asian handicap
Monaco -1 · 1.99 (-101)
Monaco -1 · 2.08 (+108)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 3 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Monaco
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.