Sep 4, 2026 · 7:05 PM UTC · 570 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 570 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 53 h 45 min before kickoff. Paris Saint-Germain opened as the favorite at 1.41 (-241) and shortened to 1.34 (-290). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paris Saint-Germain 68% → 72%, draw 18% → 16%, Monaco 14% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Paris Saint-Germain -1.25 to Paris Saint-Germain -1.5. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 24 h 55 min before kickoff: Paris Saint-Germain went from 68% to 70% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Paris Saint-Germain
1.41 (-241)
1.34 (-290)
Draw
5.31 (+431)
6.05 (+505)
Monaco
6.98 (+598)
8.40 (+740)
Asian handicap
Paris Saint-Germain -1.25 · 1.89 (-113)
Paris Saint-Germain -1.5 · 1.88 (-114)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.90 (-111)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.99 (-101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Paris Saint-Germain
Total (over/under)
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