Sep 4, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 560 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 560 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 53 h 25 min before kickoff. Como opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and shortened to 1.70 (-143). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Genoa 18% → 16%, draw 30% → 27%, Como 53% → 57%. The Asian handicap moved from Genoa +0.5 to Genoa +0.75. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 2 h 35 min before kickoff: Como went from 54% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Genoa
5.50 (+450)
5.87 (+487)
Draw
3.25 (+225)
3.64 (+264)
Como
1.83 (-120)
1.70 (-143)
Asian handicap
Genoa +0.5 · 2.08 (+108)
Genoa +0.75 · 2.01 (+101)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 2.03 (+103)
O/U 2.5 · over 2.03 (+103)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Genoa
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera