Scan with your phone camera Lecce vs Bologna — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bologna opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and drifted to 2.09 (+109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lecce 21% → 23%, draw 29% → 30%, Bologna 50% → 47%. The Asian handicap held at Lecce +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 7 h 30 min before kickoff: Lecce went from 21% to 23% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Lecce | 4.68 (+368) | 4.17 (+317) |
| Draw | 3.28 (+228) | 3.23 (+223) |
| Bologna | 1.93 (-107) | 2.09 (+109) |
| Asian handicap | Lecce +0.5 · 1.96 (-104) | Lecce +0.5 · 1.84 (-119) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.90 (-111) | O/U 2.25 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).