Oct 10, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Napoli opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-212) and drifted to 1.55 (-182). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Napoli 65% → 62%, draw 19% → 21%, Frosinone 15% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Napoli -1.25 to Napoli -1. The total stayed at 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Napoli
1.47 (-212)
1.55 (-182)
Draw
5.01 (+401)
4.57 (+357)
Frosinone
6.28 (+528)
5.87 (+487)
Asian handicap
Napoli -1.25 · 1.99 (-101)
Napoli -1 · 1.89 (-113)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Napoli
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)
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