Scan with your phone camera Sassuolo vs AC Milan — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. AC Milan opened as the favorite at 1.84 (-119) and drifted to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sassuolo 22% → 24%, draw 25% → 27%, AC Milan 52% → 49%. The Asian handicap held at Sassuolo +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before kickoff: AC Milan went from 51% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Sassuolo | 4.30 (+330) | 4.08 (+308) |
| Draw | 3.85 (+285) | 3.62 (+262) |
| AC Milan | 1.84 (-119) | 1.97 (-103) |
| Asian handicap | Sassuolo +0.5 · 2.07 (+107) | Sassuolo +0.5 · 1.94 (-106) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.99 (-101) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).