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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

AC Milan vs Lecce — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. AC Milan opened as the favorite at 1.27 (-368) and shortened to 1.25 (-400). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): AC Milan 75% → 78%, draw 16% → 16%, Lecce 8% → 7%. The Asian handicap held at AC Milan -1.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
AC Milan1.27 (-368)1.25 (-400)
Draw5.86 (+486)6.25 (+525)
Lecce11.47 (+1047)14.00 (+1300)
Asian handicapAC Milan -1.75 · 2.05 (+105)AC Milan -1.75 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-6%26%58%90%AC Milan 78%Draw 16%Lecce 7%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.75)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).