AC Milan vs Lecce — odds movement
Sep 20, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. AC Milan opened as the favorite at 1.27 (-368) and shortened to 1.25 (-400). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): AC Milan 75% → 78%, draw 16% → 16%, Lecce 8% → 7%. The Asian handicap held at AC Milan -1.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| AC Milan | 1.27 (-368) | 1.25 (-400) |
| Draw | 5.86 (+486) | 6.25 (+525) |
| Lecce | 11.47 (+1047) | 14.00 (+1300) |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan -1.75 · 2.05 (+105) | AC Milan -1.75 · 1.89 (-112) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117) | O/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).