Sep 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Como opened as the favorite at 1.53 (-190) and shortened to 1.48 (-209). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Frosinone 15% → 15%, draw 22% → 20%, Como 63% → 65%. The Asian handicap moved from Frosinone +1 to Frosinone +1.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Frosinone
6.40 (+540)
6.39 (+539)
Draw
4.41 (+341)
4.94 (+394)
Como
1.53 (-190)
1.48 (-209)
Asian handicap
Frosinone +1 · 2.08 (+108)
Frosinone +1.25 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.98 (-102)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Frosinone
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.