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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Bologna vs Sassuolo — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 275 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 275 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 10 min before kickoff. Bologna opened as the favorite at 2.06 (+106) and shortened to 1.92 (-109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bologna 47% → 51%, draw 28% → 27%, Sassuolo 25% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Bologna -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 25 min before kickoff: Bologna went from 47% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bologna2.06 (+106)1.92 (-109)
Draw3.44 (+244)3.58 (+258)
Sassuolo3.89 (+289)4.37 (+337)
Asian handicapBologna -0.5 · 2.06 (+106)Bologna -0.5 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.08 (+108)O/U 2.75 · over 2.06 (+106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%30%43%56%Bologna 51%Draw 27%Sassuolo 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.752.5 → 2.75

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