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Parma vs Monza — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 239 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 239 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Parma opened favored at 2.62 (+162), but by the last snapshot Monza was the favorite at 2.88 (+188). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Parma 37% → 33%, draw 31% → 33%, Monza 32% → 34%. The Asian handicap held at Parma 0 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 8 h 35 min before kickoff: Monza went from 31% to 34% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Parma2.62 (+162)2.96 (+196)
Draw3.09 (+209)2.92 (+192)
Monza3.05 (+205)2.88 (+188)
Asian handicapParma 0 · 1.81 (-123)Parma 0 · 1.99 (-101)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 2.11 (+111)O/U 2 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
30%32%35%38%Parma 33%Draw 33%Monza 34%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2

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