Parma vs Monza — odds movement
Sep 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 239 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 239 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Parma opened favored at 2.62 (+162), but by the last snapshot Monza was the favorite at 2.88 (+188). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Parma 37% → 33%, draw 31% → 33%, Monza 32% → 34%. The Asian handicap held at Parma 0 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 8 h 35 min before kickoff: Monza went from 31% to 34% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Parma | 2.62 (+162) | 2.96 (+196) |
| Draw | 3.09 (+209) | 2.92 (+192) |
| Monza | 3.05 (+205) | 2.88 (+188) |
| Asian handicap | Parma 0 · 1.81 (-123) | Parma 0 · 1.99 (-101) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 2.11 (+111) | O/U 2 · over 1.85 (-117) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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