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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Roma vs Atalanta — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 485 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 485 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 63 h 40 min before kickoff. Roma opened as the favorite at 1.73 (-137) and shortened to 1.69 (-144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Roma 56% → 57%, draw 25% → 24%, Atalanta 20% → 18%. The Asian handicap held at Roma -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Roma went from 58% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Roma1.73 (-137)1.69 (-144)
Draw3.93 (+293)4.00 (+300)
Atalanta4.92 (+392)5.35 (+435)
Asian handicapRoma -0.75 · 1.96 (-104)Roma -0.75 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%29%47%65%Roma 57%Draw 24%Atalanta 18%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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