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Fluminense vs Platense — odds movement

Sep 8, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 1.71 (-140) and shortened to 1.59 (-169). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fluminense 56% → 60%, draw 28% → 27%, Platense 16% → 13%. The Asian handicap held at Fluminense -0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 2. The sharpest single move came 6 h 40 min before kickoff: Fluminense went from 56% to 58% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fluminense1.71 (-140)1.59 (-169)
Draw3.43 (+243)3.54 (+254)
Platense6.00 (+500)7.54 (+654)
Asian handicapFluminense -0.75 · 1.96 (-104)Fluminense -0.75 · 1.80 (-125)
TotalO/U 2 · over 2.09 (+109)O/U 2 · over 2.05 (+105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
4%26%47%69%Fluminense 60%Draw 27%Platense 13%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2)

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