Estudiantes de La Plata vs Flamengo — odds movement
Oct 16, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 5 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and shortened to 2.12 (+112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estudiantes de La Plata 25% → 23%, draw 31% → 32%, Flamengo 44% → 45%. The Asian handicap held at Estudiantes de La Plata +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 2 to 1.75. The sharpest single move came 6 h 35 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Estudiantes de La Plata
3.86 (+286)
4.23 (+323)
Draw
3.01 (+201)
3.01 (+201)
Flamengo
2.15 (+115)
2.12 (+112)
Asian handicap
Estudiantes de La Plata +0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
Estudiantes de La Plata +0.25 · 2.12 (+112)
Total
O/U 2 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 1.75 · over 1.83 (-121)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Estudiantes de La Plata
Total (over/under)
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