Oct 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 480 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 480 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 30 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 1.90 (-111) and shortened to 1.72 (-139). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Palmeiras 50% → 56%, draw 27% → 29%, Fluminense 23% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Palmeiras -0.5 to Palmeiras -0.75. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 14 h 45 min before kickoff: Palmeiras went from 49% to 51% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Palmeiras
1.90 (-111)
1.72 (-139)
Draw
3.48 (+248)
3.36 (+236)
Fluminense
4.09 (+309)
6.07 (+507)
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -0.5 · 1.91 (-110)
Palmeiras -0.75 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.07 (+107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Palmeiras
Total (over/under)
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