Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle — odds movement
Sep 18, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.32 (-313) and shortened to 1.27 (-370). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Flamengo 73% → 75%, draw 18% → 16%, Independiente del Valle 10% → 9%. The Asian handicap moved from Flamengo -1.5 to Flamengo -1.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 5 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 73% to 75% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Flamengo | 1.32 (-313) | 1.27 (-370) |
| Draw | 5.47 (+447) | 5.92 (+492) |
| Independiente del Valle | 9.63 (+863) | 10.59 (+959) |
| Asian handicap | Flamengo -1.5 · 1.96 (-104) | Flamengo -1.75 · 2.02 (+102) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117) | O/U 3 · over 1.98 (-102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).