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⚽ Soccer CONMEBOL - Copa Libertadores Final

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle — odds movement

Sep 18, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.32 (-313) and shortened to 1.27 (-370). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Flamengo 73% → 75%, draw 18% → 16%, Independiente del Valle 10% → 9%. The Asian handicap moved from Flamengo -1.5 to Flamengo -1.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 5 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 73% to 75% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Flamengo1.32 (-313)1.27 (-370)
Draw5.47 (+447)5.92 (+492)
Independiente del Valle9.63 (+863)10.59 (+959)
Asian handicapFlamengo -1.5 · 1.96 (-104)Flamengo -1.75 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 3 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-3%27%57%87%Flamengo 75%Draw 16%Independiente del Valle 9%
Asian handicap · Flamengo
-1.75-1.5-1.5 → -1.75
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).