Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata — odds movement
Oct 23, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 137 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 137 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 55 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.38 (-263) and shortened to 1.26 (-383). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Flamengo 69% → 76%, draw 21% → 17%, Estudiantes de La Plata 10% → 7%. The Asian handicap moved from Flamengo -1.25 to Flamengo -1.5. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 18 h 45 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 69% to 71% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Flamengo
1.38 (-263)
1.26 (-383)
Draw
4.59 (+359)
5.57 (+457)
Estudiantes de La Plata
9.19 (+819)
12.92 (+1192)
Asian handicap
Flamengo -1.25 · 1.93 (-107)
Flamengo -1.5 · 1.83 (-121)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.92 (-109)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Flamengo
Total (over/under)
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