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Tigres UANL vs Necaxa — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Tigres UANL opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-153) and drifted to 1.68 (-146). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tigres UANL 58% → 57%, draw 23% → 24%, Necaxa 19% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Tigres UANL -1 to Tigres UANL -0.75. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Tigres UANL went from 53% to 57% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tigres UANL1.65 (-153)1.68 (-146)
Draw4.21 (+321)4.01 (+301)
Necaxa5.12 (+412)5.16 (+416)
Asian handicapTigres UANL -1 · 2.08 (+108)Tigres UANL -0.75 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.07 (+107)O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%30%48%65%Tigres UANL 57%Draw 24%Necaxa 19%
Asian handicap · Tigres UANL
-1-0.75-1 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).