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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Club Leon vs FC Juarez — odds movement

Sep 28, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Club Leon opened as the favorite at 1.61 (-165) and shortened to 1.53 (-188). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Club Leon 59% → 63%, draw 23% → 22%, FC Juarez 18% → 15%. The Asian handicap held at Club Leon -1 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 41 h 20 min before kickoff: Club Leon went from 59% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Club Leon1.61 (-165)1.53 (-188)
Draw4.11 (+311)4.40 (+340)
FC Juarez5.29 (+429)6.32 (+532)
Asian handicapClub Leon -1 · 2.02 (+102)Club Leon -1 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%28%50%71%Club Leon 63%Draw 22%FC Juarez 15%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1)
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).