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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul — odds movement

Oct 12, 2026 · 1:15 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Cruz Azul opened as the favorite at 2.03 (+103) and drifted to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pumas UNAM 27% → 32%, draw 26% → 27%, Cruz Azul 47% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from Pumas UNAM +0.5 to Pumas UNAM +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Cruz Azul went from 47% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Pumas UNAM3.52 (+252)3.06 (+206)
Draw3.66 (+266)3.61 (+261)
Cruz Azul2.03 (+103)2.33 (+133)
Asian handicapPumas UNAM +0.5 · 1.83 (-121)Pumas UNAM +0.25 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.82 (-122)O/U 2.75 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%32%41%51%Pumas UNAM 32%Draw 27%Cruz Azul 42%
Asian handicap · Pumas UNAM
+0.25+0.5+0.5 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).