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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Tigres UANL vs Puebla — odds movement

Sep 27, 2026 · 3:10 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 20 min before kickoff. Tigres UANL opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-182) and drifted to 1.68 (-147). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tigres UANL 61% → 57%, draw 21% → 24%, Puebla 18% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Tigres UANL -1 to Tigres UANL -0.75. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tigres UANL1.55 (-182)1.68 (-147)
Draw4.45 (+345)4.01 (+301)
Puebla5.37 (+437)5.19 (+419)
Asian handicapTigres UANL -1 · 1.93 (-107)Tigres UANL -0.75 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 2.5 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
10%29%49%69%Tigres UANL 57%Draw 24%Puebla 19%
Asian handicap · Tigres UANL
-1-0.75-1 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).