Scan with your phone camera Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Chivas Guadalajara opened as the favorite at 2.19 (+119) and shortened to 2.05 (+105). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlas 29% → 26%, draw 28% → 27%, Chivas Guadalajara 44% → 47%. The Asian handicap moved from Atlas +0.25 to Atlas +0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 18 h 25 min before kickoff: Chivas Guadalajara went from 44% to 46% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Atlas | 3.29 (+229) | 3.73 (+273) |
| Draw | 3.46 (+246) | 3.61 (+261) |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 2.19 (+119) | 2.05 (+105) |
| Asian handicap | Atlas +0.25 · 1.95 (-105) | Atlas +0.5 · 1.86 (-116) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).