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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Atletico San Luis vs Chivas Guadalajara — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 337 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 337 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 60 h 10 min before kickoff. Chivas Guadalajara opened as the favorite at 1.78 (-129) and drifted to 1.86 (-116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atletico San Luis 22% → 22%, draw 24% → 26%, Chivas Guadalajara 53% → 52%. The Asian handicap moved from Atletico San Luis +0.75 to Atletico San Luis +0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 18 h 35 min before kickoff: Chivas Guadalajara went from 54% to 52% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atletico San Luis4.24 (+324)4.44 (+344)
Draw3.94 (+294)3.66 (+266)
Chivas Guadalajara1.78 (-129)1.86 (-116)
Asian handicapAtletico San Luis +0.75 · 1.85 (-117)Atletico San Luis +0.5 · 2.04 (+104)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%30%45%60%Atletico San Luis 22%Draw 26%Chivas Guadalajara 52%
Asian handicap · Atletico San Luis
+0.5+0.75+0.75 → +0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).