Sep 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 398 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 398 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 38 h 55 min before kickoff. Sparta Rotterdam opened as the favorite at 1.86 (-116) and drifted to 2.02 (+102). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sparta Rotterdam 51% → 48%, draw 25% → 25%, PEC Zwolle 24% → 27%. The Asian handicap held at Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 11 h 45 min before kickoff: Sparta Rotterdam went from 47% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sparta Rotterdam
1.86 (-116)
2.02 (+102)
Draw
3.88 (+288)
3.83 (+283)
PEC Zwolle
3.89 (+289)
3.60 (+260)
Asian handicap
Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 · 1.87 (-115)
Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 · 2.03 (+103)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 3 · over 1.93 (-107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
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