Scan with your phone camera Ajax vs PSV — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 286 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 286 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 60 h 10 min before kickoff. PSV opened as the favorite at 2.40 (+140) and drifted to 2.49 (+149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ajax 37% → 36%, draw 24% → 25%, PSV 40% → 39%. The Asian handicap held at Ajax 0 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Ajax went from 38% to 36% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Ajax | 2.61 (+161) | 2.69 (+169) |
| Draw | 4.01 (+301) | 3.86 (+286) |
| PSV | 2.40 (+140) | 2.49 (+149) |
| Asian handicap | Ajax 0 · 2.01 (+101) | Ajax 0 · 2.03 (+103) |
| Total | O/U 3.5 · over 1.85 (-118) | O/U 3.75 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).