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Lens vs Lorient — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 3:15 PM UTC · 484 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 484 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 10 min before kickoff. Lens opened as the favorite at 1.50 (-201) and drifted to 1.54 (-185). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lens 64% → 63%, draw 21% → 21%, Lorient 15% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Lens -1.25 to Lens -1. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 9 h 60 min before kickoff: Lens went from 65% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Lens1.50 (-201)1.54 (-185)
Draw4.70 (+370)4.56 (+356)
Lorient6.37 (+537)6.01 (+501)
Asian handicapLens -1.25 · 2.11 (+111)Lens -1 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 3 · over 2.07 (+107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
5%28%52%76%Lens 63%Draw 21%Lorient 16%
Asian handicap · Lens
-1.25-1-1.25 → -1
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).